Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.002187 0.002309 0.002439 0.002587 0.002752 0.002932 0.003145
2025-02-16 0.001995 0.002163 0.002350 0.002577 0.002846 0.003162 0.003567
2025-02-23 0.001897 0.002100 0.002335 0.002633 0.003009 0.003480 0.004139
2025-03-02 0.001782 0.002001 0.002261 0.002603 0.003054 0.003649 0.004543
2025-03-09 0.001677 0.001903 0.002178 0.002548 0.003052 0.003748 0.004861
2025-03-16 0.001634 0.001876 0.002177 0.002595 0.003187 0.004050 0.005549
2025-03-23 0.001592 0.001846 0.002169 0.002628 0.003303 0.004340 0.006295
2025-03-30 0.001533 0.001790 0.002121 0.002601 0.003326 0.004485 0.006820
2025-04-06 0.001466 0.001720 0.002050 0.002534 0.003279 0.004505 0.007101
2025-04-13 0.001419 0.001673 0.002007 0.002505 0.003288 0.004618 0.007619
2025-04-20 0.001343 0.001584 0.001903 0.002380 0.003131 0.004418 0.007354
2025-04-27 0.001313 0.001557 0.001883 0.002376 0.003172 0.004581 0.008031
2025-05-04 0.001298 0.001551 0.001893 0.002423 0.003307 0.004961 0.009517
2025-05-11 0.001270 0.001526 0.001876 0.002427 0.003370 0.005214 0.010846
2025-05-18 0.001260 0.001524 0.001891 0.002483 0.003531 0.005716 0.013596
2025-05-25 0.001227 0.001490 0.001858 0.002458 0.003540 0.005877 0.015207
2025-06-01 0.001190 0.001448 0.001812 0.002409 0.003499 0.005909 0.016266
2025-06-08 0.001180 0.001444 0.001821 0.002451 0.003639 0.006433 0.021384
2025-06-15 0.001167 0.001435 0.001822 0.002481 0.003758 0.006946 0.028957
2025-06-22 0.001141 0.001408 0.001794 0.002457 0.003762 0.007134 0.034734
2025-06-29 0.001109 0.001369 0.001746 0.002396 0.003684 0.007050 0.036519
2025-07-06 0.001085 0.001343 0.001719 0.002370 0.003677 0.007192 0.043976
2025-07-13 0.001043 0.001288 0.001644 0.002256 0.003473 0.006661 0.035085